The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced global traffic results for January showing a 8.0% decline in air freight compared to the same month in 2011, and a 5.7% rise in passenger demand.
The occurrence of Chinese New Year in January (rather than in February as in 2011) exaggerated the increase in passenger demand and the fall in air freight. Stripping this out, the underlying trend was for stronger passenger growth, while stabilized weakness in cargo markets continues.
The decline in air freight stabilized in the fourth quarter of 2011, at levels 4% below the 2008 pre-crisis peak. There was a 2.5% fall in global freight markets from December to January, but this is almost totally attributable to the impact of factory closures due to the Chinese New Year. Freight capacity contracted by 0.6% year over year, and freight load factor fell to 41% (from 44.3% in January 2011) as deliveries of new widebody passenger aircraft offset measures to reduce freight capacity.
Asia-Pacific and European airlines bore the brunt of the international decline, down 14% and 9.6% respectively compared to January 2011. In addition to the impact of the holiday, the peripheral economies in Europe have been in recession and attracting little inbound freight. Until recently this had been offset by strong outbound traffic flows from Northern European economies.
Middle Eastern carriers enjoyed a 9.4% rise in demand, the healthiest performance among the regions. North American airlines' demand dropped 4.0%. Latin American carriers' traffic climbed 2.2% while African carriers saw a 3.7% decline compared to the year-ago period.